[International Finance Briefing] 94-95% chance Democrats win House... 7.523 million job openings, AMD earnings exceed expectations
Original headline[국제금융 브리핑] 美 민주당 하원 승리 확률 94~95%...구인건수 752.3만 건·AMD 실적 예상 상회
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US midterm elections headlined the macro backdrop, with prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket pricing a 94–95% probability of a Democratic House win and 76–77% odds of a full congressional sweep, while Harvard's model put those at 96% and 78%; vote counting began at 8 a.m. KST on November 4. US equities rose on dip-buying in semiconductor stocks, and JOLTS data showing 7.523 million job openings reinforced labor-market strength, lifting the dollar and Treasury yields. AMD earnings topped expectations, and reports of progress in US-Iran talks added to the mix, even as unease over AI investment and the Middle East conflict persisted. The results matter for the policy path on taxes, spending and tech regulation heading into 2026, with investors watching vote tallies, the dollar and yields, and any follow-through in US-Iran negotiations.
Muhabbit's AI wrote this summary in its own words from TokenPost's report and translated it from Korean. It can get details wrong, so check the source.
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US midterm elections, Democratic Party, AMD (AMD), US job openings, US-Iran negotiations
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