44%·65%… GPT Astra 6.1+ Release Probability on November 15 and 30

OpenAI's next-generation model, GPT Astra 6.1+, is the subject of rising speculation on Polymarket, where prediction contracts show a 44% probability of release by November 15 and 65% by November 30, up 12 and 4 percentage points respectively over the prior 24 hours, according to PPP prediction-market tool data reported by Odaily at 4:28 p.m. KST on the 1st. The contracts resolve "yes" only if a GPT model of version 6.1 or higher with "Astra" in its name or model identifier is made actually available to general users by each deadline—private tests or mere website listings don't count, with OpenAI's official information serving as the primary resolution source. The thresholds matter because OpenAI's September 3 launch of GPT-6 Astra, while carrying the Astra name, fell short of the version 6.1 requirement, leaving the contracts unresolved. Traders appear to be pricing in an imminent follow-up release, with the 24-hour probability jumps suggesting fresh information or positioning is flowing into the contracts. Watch for official OpenAI announcements or general-availability signals, which would be the key catalysts for resolution before the November 15 and November 30 deadlines.