XRP Has 79% Chance of Falling Below $1.20 in November, According to Polymarket Contract

Polymarket contracts for XRP's November price range show a 79% implied probability of the token touching $1.20 or below at some point during the month, and a 47% probability of reaching $1.40 or above, as of early November 3 (Korea time). The contracts, which settle on whether those price levels are hit at any point in November rather than at month-end close, are traded as separate markets, so the two probabilities can both materialize and do not sum to 100%. The figures reflect contract prices formed through trading, which shift with volume and new information. The odds imply traders see meaningful two-way volatility risk for XRP in November, with downside odds notably higher than upside. Watch how these implied probabilities move with XRP spot price action and flows into the Polymarket contracts through the November 30 market end date.